CLARITY Act Vote: Bitcoin and Ethereum Need a Pulse, Not Final Passage

The CLARITY Act cloture vote has three possible market outcomes, not two—a clean win, a constructive near miss, or a wide defeat—and Bitcoin and Ethereum don’t need final enactment today, just evidence the legislative process hasn’t stalled.

Gold Breaks $4,300—Dollar Index’s 99.86 Resistance Holds the Next Signal

Gold has broken below $4,300 even as oil surges and tech stocks selloff, because oil-driven inflation risk is feeding a sharply more hawkish Fed outlook that’s overpowering haven demand—and whether Dollar Index confirms that same story now hinges on its 99.86 resistance.

GBP/JPY Finds Three Reasons to Rebound as BoE and BoJ Risks Converge

GBP/JPY enters a back-to-back central-bank week with three independent arguments for a rebound—the BoE’s hawkish bloc has little room to retreat, a fully priced BoJ hike may give Yen no new information, and the pair is oversold at a two-layer technical support zone—creating an asymmetric setup where the bullish threshold is lower than the bearish one.

US Yields Have Voted. Will the Fed Unlock the Dollar?

The US two-year yield has already broken out toward a broader Fed tightening path, but the Dollar hasn’t followed — this week’s FOMC decision and Summary of Economic Projections will determine whether the Fed validates enough of that path to finally close the gap.

UK Payroll Losses Deepen, but Pay Growth Refuses to Follow

EUR/USD Daily Outlook