EUR/USD Targets 1.1471—Will the Fed’s SEP Validate Four-Hike Pricing?
One Fed hike is effectively certain today, but markets are pricing four hikes total at an approximately quarterly cadence—whether the SEP validates that path, or its hawkish tail, will decide whether EUR/USD extends below 1.1471 or reverses back through 1.1653.
Silver’s $60 Floor Should Hold—Unless Gold Breaks First
Silver’s $60 floor should hold unless gold breaks first. A structural physical-market deficit gives the $60–60.44 zone real backing, but the most credible path to a break runs through a hawkish Fed SEP, gold losing its $4,230–4,254 support, and the Gold/Silver ratio magnifying the fallout.
CLARITY Act Vote: Bitcoin and Ethereum Need a Pulse, Not Final Passage
The CLARITY Act cloture vote has three possible market outcomes, not two—a clean win, a constructive near miss, or a wide defeat—and Bitcoin and Ethereum don’t need final enactment today, just evidence the legislative process hasn’t stalled.
Gold Breaks $4,300—Dollar Index’s 99.86 Resistance Holds the Next Signal
Gold has broken below $4,300 even as oil surges and tech stocks selloff, because oil-driven inflation risk is feeding a sharply more hawkish Fed outlook that’s overpowering haven demand—and whether Dollar Index confirms that same story now hinges on its 99.86 resistance.
