EUR/GBP – 0.8848
Original strategy :
Sell at 0.8920, Target: 0.8820, Stop: 0.8960
Position : –
Target : –
Stop : –
New strategy :
Sell at 0.8920, Target: 0.8820, Stop: 0.8960
Position : –
Target : –
Stop : –
As the single currency has remained under pressure after breaking below previous support at 0.8856, adding credence to our bearish view that top has been formed at 0.9033 earlier and downside bias remains for the erratic decline from there to bring further fall to 0.8820-25, then towards 0.8800, however, near term oversold condition should limit downside and reckon 0.8770 would hold from here.
In view of this, we are looking to sell euro again on recovery as 0.8920-30 should limit upside. Above said resistance at 0.8957 would shift risk to upside for test of 0.8976 but reckon upside would be limited to 0.9000 and said resistance at 0.933 should remain intact, bring another retreat later.
Our preferred count is that, after forming a major top at 0.9805 (wave V), (A)-(B)-(C) correction is unfolding with (A) leg ended at 0.8400 (A: 0.8637, B: 0.9491 and 5-waver C ended at 0.8400. Wave (B) has ended at 0.9413 and impulsive wave (C) has either ended at 0.8067 or may extend one more fall to 0.8000 before prospect of another rally. Current breach of indicated resistance at 0.9043 confirms our view that the (C) leg has ended and bring stronger rebound towards 0.9150/54, then towards 0.9240/50.
