GBP/USD – 1.3192
Original strategy :
Sold at 1.3315, Target:1.3115, Stop: 1.3290
Position: – Short at 1.3315
Target: – 1.3115
Stop: – 1.3290
New strategy :
Hold short entered at 1.3315, Target:1.3115, Stop: 1.3290
Position: – Short at 1.3315
Target: – 1.3115
Stop:- 1.3290
Although cable found support at 1.3140 yesterday and recovered, if our view that top has been formed at 1.3338 late last week is correct, upside should be limited and price should falter well below indicated resistance at 1.3287 and bring another decline to 1.3140, then test of indicated support at 1.3121, however, break there is needed to signal the rebound from 1.3027 has ended, bring further fall to 1.3065-75, then retest of said support at 1.3027.
In view of this, we are holding on to our short position entered at 1.3315. Only above indicated resistance at 1.3312-15 would risk test of said resistance at 1.3338 (last week’s high), break there would abort and signal low has been formed at 1.3027 instead, bring at least a correction of the fall from 1.3658 top to 1.3390-00 later. Our preferred count is that (pls see the attached chart) the wave IV is unfolding as a complex double three (ABC-X-ABC) correction with 2nd wave B ended at 1.2774, hence 2nd wave C could have ended at 1.3658.
Our preferred count on the daily chart is that cable’s rebound from 1.3500 (wave (A) trough) is unfolding as a wave (B) with A ended at 1.7043, followed by triangle wave B and wave C as well as wave (B) has ended at 1.7192, the subsequent selloff is the larger degree wave (C) which is still unfolding with minor wave (III) of larger degree wave 3 ended at 1.1986, hence wave (IV) correction is in progress which could either be a triangle wave (IV) of a complex formation but upside should be limited to 1.3500 and price should falter well below 1.4000, bring another decline in wave (V) of 3 for weakness to 1.1500, then 1.1200.
