USD/CAD - 1.2899
Recent wave: Only wave v of c has ended at 0.9407 and wave C of major A-B-C correction is underway with wave iii ended at 1.4690, wave v of C may bring one more marginal rise probably in 2018
Trend: Near term down
Original strategy :
Sell at 1.3115, Target: 1.2915, Stop: 1.3175
New strategy :
Sell at 1.3010, Target: 1.2850, Stop: 1.3070
As the greenback has fallen again after brief recovery, suggesting recent selloff from 1.3794 top (wave c of larger degree wave b top) is still in progress and bearishness remains for further decline to 1.2870, then 1.2850, however, loss of downward momentum should prevent sharp fall below 1.2800, risk from there has increased for a rebound to take place later.
In view of this, would not chase this fall here and would be prudent to sell the pair again on recovery as 1.3010-15 should limit upside. Above 1.3070-75 would defer and suggest low is formed, bring a stronger rebound to 1.3115-20 and possibly towards previous support at 1.3165 (now resistance) but only break there would signal a temporary low is formed instead, then test of another previous support at 1.3212.
To recap, wave B from 1.3066 is unfolding as an a-b-c and is sub-divided as a: 1.2192, b: 1.2716 and wave c is a 5-waver with i: 1.1983, ii: 1.2506, extended wave iii with minor iii at 1.0206, wave iv ended at 1.0781 and wave v as well as wave iii has ended at 0.9931, hence the subsequent choppy trading is the wave iv which is unfolding as (a)-(b)-(c) with (a) leg of iv ended at 1.0854, followed by (b) leg at 1.0108 and (c) leg as well as the wave iv ended at 1.0674. The wave v is sub-divided by minor wave (i): 0.9980, (ii): 1.0374, (iii): 0.9446, (iv): 0.9913 and (v) as well as v has possibly ended at 0.9407, therefore, consolidation with upside bias is seen for major correction, indicated target at 1.3700 and 1.4000 had been met and further gain to 1.4700 would be seen later.