Trade Idea: AUD/USD – Sell at 0.7650

AUD/USD – 0.7610

Recent wave: Wave 5 ended at 1.1081 and major correction has commenced for fall to 0.7000 and then towards 0.6500-10

Trend: Near term up

Original strategy :

Sell at 0.7650, Target: 0.7500, Stop: 0.7690

Position: –
Target:  –
Stop: –

New strategy :

Sell at 0.7650, Target: 0.7500, Stop: 0.7690

Position: –
Target:  –
Stop:-

Although aussie has recovered after falling to 0.7571 and consolidation above this level would be seen, if our view that top has been formed at 0.7712 is correct, upside should be limited to 0.7650-60 and bring another retreat later, below said support at 0.7571 would add credence to this view, bring retracement of recent rise to 0.7535 support, break there would extend further fall towards 0.7500 which is likely to hold from here..  

In view of this, we are looking to sell aussie on recovery as 0.7650 should limit upside. Above 0.7683 resistance would abort and suggest the retreat from 0.7712 has ended instead, bring retest of this level first, then towards 0.7750. 

On the 4-hour chart, the move from 0.8066 is the wave 5 with i: 0.8860, ii: 0.8315, wave iii is an extended move ended at 1.0183, iv: 0.9706 and wave v has ended at 1.1081 (also the top of entire wave 5). The subsequent selloff is the major correction which is unfolding as ABC-X-ABC and 2nd A leg has ended at 0.8848, followed by a-b-c wave B which ended at 0.9758, hence, 2nd C wave is now in progress and indicated downside target at 0.7000 and 0.6950 had been met, so further fall to 0.6710-20 cannot be ruled out.