USD/CAD – 1.3229
Recent wave: Only wave v of c has ended at 0.9407 and wave C of major A-B-C correction is underway for headway to 1.4700
Trend: Near term down
Original strategy :
Sold at 1.3295, Target: 1.3130, Stop: 1.3355
Position: – Short at 1.3295
Target: – 1.3130
Stop: – 1.3355
New strategy :
Hold short entered at 1.3295, Target: 1.3130, Stop: 1.3310
Position: – Short at 1.3295
Target: – 1.3130
Stop:- 1.3310
The greenback met renewed selling interest at 1.3308 and has slipped again, retaining our bearishness and test of support at 13191 would be seen, however, break there is needed to signal the rebound from 1.3165 low has ended at 1.3348 last week, bring retest of this support later. Looking ahead, a break below there is needed to confirm recent decline from 1.3794 top has resumed and extend fall to 1.3100-10 and later towards previous support at 1.3078.
In view of this, we are holding on to our short position entered at 1.3295. Above 1.3308 resistance would prolong consolidation and risk another bounce to 1.3348. Only break of said resistance at 1.3348 would defer and risk a stronger rebound to previous support at 1.3387 (now resistance), however, still reckon upside would be limited to 1.3420-25 and price should falter well below resistance at 1.3471, bring another decline later.
To recap, wave B from 1.3066 is unfolding as an a-b-c and is sub-divided as a: 1.2192, b: 1.2716 and wave c is a 5-waver with i: 1.1983, ii: 1.2506, extended wave iii with minor iii at 1.0206, wave iv ended at 1.0781 and wave v as well as wave iii has ended at 0.9931, hence the subsequent choppy trading is the wave iv which is unfolding as (a)-(b)-(c) with (a) leg of iv ended at 1.0854, followed by (b) leg at 1.0108 and (c) leg as well as the wave iv ended at 1.0674. The wave v is sub-divided by minor wave (i): 0.9980, (ii): 1.0374, (iii): 0.9446, (iv): 0.9913 and (v) as well as v has possibly ended at 0.9407, therefore, consolidation with upside bias is seen for major correction, indicated target at 1.3700 and 1.4000 had been met and further gain to 1.4700 would be seen later.
