Elliott Wave Daily

Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Buy at 1.3530


USD/CAD - 1.3563

Recent wave: Only wave v of c has ended at 0.9407 and wave C of major A-B-C correction is underway for headway to 1.4700

Trend:  Near term up

Original strategy       :

Buy at 1.3535, Target: 1.3735, Stop: 1.3475

Position: -

Target:  -

Stop: -

New strategy             :

Buy at 1.3530, Target: 1.3730, Stop: 1.3470

Position: -

Target:  -


As the greenback has slipped again after meeting resistance at 1.3670, retaining our view that further sideways trading would be seen and near term downside risk remains for the fall from 1.3794 top to bring retracement of recent rise, hence weakness towards support at 1.3530 is likely, however, reckon downside would be limited and bring rebound later, above 1.3670 would bring another bounce to 1.3700 but break of 1.3740-45 is needed to signal the pullback from recent high at 1.3794 has ended, bring test of 1.3770 resistance first, then towards 1.3794. Looking ahead, only a break above there would confirm recent upmove has resumed and extend further gain to 1.3840-50, then towards 1.3900. 

In view of this, we are inclined to buy again on further corrective fall as 1.3530 support should limit downside and bring another rise later. A firm break below 1.3530 would abort and suggest a temporary top is formed, bring retracement of recent upmove to 1.3500 and later towards 1.3450-60 but support at 1.3411 should remain intact, bring another upmove later.

To recap, wave B from 1.3066 is unfolding as an a-b-c and is sub-divided as a: 1.2192, b: 1.2716 and wave c is a 5-waver with i: 1.1983, ii: 1.2506, extended wave iii with minor iii at 1.0206, wave iv ended at 1.0781 and wave v as well as wave iii has ended at 0.9931, hence the subsequent choppy trading is the wave iv which is unfolding as (a)-(b)-(c) with (a) leg of iv ended at 1.0854, followed by (b) leg at 1.0108 and (c) leg as well as the wave iv ended at 1.0674. The wave v is sub-divided by minor wave (i): 0.9980, (ii): 1.0374, (iii): 0.9446, (iv): 0.9913 and (v) as well as v has possibly ended at 0.9407, therefore, consolidation with upside bias is seen for major correction, indicated target at 1.3700 and 1.4000 had been met and further gain to 1.4700 would be seen later.