AUD/USD – 0.7416
Recent wave: Wave 5 ended at 1.1081 and major correction has commenced for fall to 0.7000 and then towards 0.6500-10
Trend: Near term down
New strategy :
Sell at 0.7455, Target: 0.7300, Stop: 0.7515
Position: –
Target:Â –
Stop:-
As aussie has fallen again after brief bounce to 0.7556 earlier this week, suggesting recent decline is still in progress and downside bias is seen for further weakness to 0.7380-85 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 0.7158-0.7750), then towards 0.7300, however, near term oversold condition should prevent sharp fall below 0.7245-50, bring rebound later.
In view of this, we are looking to sell aussie on recovery as 0.7455-60 should limit upside, bring another decline. Above 0.7500-10 would defer and risk rebound to said resistance at 0.7556 but break there is needed to signal low is formed instead, bring further gain to 0.7580-85 but resistance at 0.7611 should hold from here.
On the 4-hour chart, the move from 0.8066 is the wave 5 with i: 0.8860, ii: 0.8315, wave iii is an extended move ended at 1.0183, iv: 0.9706 and wave v has ended at 1.1081 (also the top of entire wave 5). The subsequent selloff is the major correction which is unfolding as ABC-X-ABC and 2nd A leg has ended at 0.8848, followed by a-b-c wave B which ended at 0.9758, hence, 2nd C wave is now in progress and indicated downside target at 0.7000 and 0.6950 had been met, so further fall to 0.6710-20 cannot be ruled out.
