USD/CHF – 0.9619
Most recent candlesticks pattern : N/A
Trend : Near term up
Tenkan-Sen level : 0.9619
Kijun-Sen level : 0.9622
Ichimoku cloud top : 0.9612
Ichimoku cloud bottom : 0.9607
Original strategy :
Sold at 0.9625, Target: 0.9525, Stop: 0.9660
Position : – Short at 0.9625
Target : – 0.9525
Stop : – 0.9660
New strategy :
Hold short entered at 0.9625, Target: 0.9525, Stop: 0.9650
Position : – Short at 0.9625
Target : – 0.9525
Stop : – 0.9650
The greenback has continued meeting resistance at 0.9649 and has remained locked within familiar range, retaining our view that further consolidation would take place and as long as said resistance at 0.9649 holds, mild downside bias remains for another fall towards 0.9563-65 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 0.9421-0.9705 and Friday’s low), break there would add credence to our view that top has been formed at 0.9705, bring further weakness to 0.9525-30 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement), however, downside should be limited to 0.9500 and 0.9480-85 should hold from here.
In view of this, we are holding on to our short position entered at 0.9625. Above 0.9649 would defer and risk rebound to 0.9675-80, break there would signal the pullback from 0.9705 has ended, bring retest of this level, a breach of this last week’s high would extend recent rise from 0.9421 to 0.9740-50 later.
