EUR/USD – 1.1880
Most recent candlesticks pattern : N/A
Trend : Near term up
Tenkan-Sen level : 1.1880
Kijun-Sen level : 1.1862
Ichimoku cloud top : 1.1852
Ichimoku cloud bottom : 1.1848
Original strategy :
Sold at 1.1880, Target: 1.1780, Stop: 1.1915
Position : – Short at 1.1880
Target : – 1.1780
Stop : – 1.1915
New strategy :
Hold short entered at 1.1880, Target: 1.1780, Stop: 1.1895
Position : – Short at 1.1880
Target : – 1.1780
Stop : – 1.1895
As the single currency has retreated after the release of US NFP data, retaining our view that further consolidation below this week’s high at 1.1910 would be seen and mild downside bias remains for test of 1.1810-15 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.1650-1.1910), however, break of 1.1780-85 (50% Fibonacci retracement and previous support) is needed to signal top is formed, bring retracement of recent rise to 1.1745-50 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) but support at 1.1723 would remain intact.
In view of this, we are holding on to our short position entered at 1.1880. Above said resistance at 1.1910 would signal recent upmove is still in progress and may extend headway to 1.1940-50 and possibly towards 1.1970-75 before correction takes place.