Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.70; (P) 111.01; (R1) 111.39; More…
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral as recovery from 110.61 temporary low continues. Upside should be limited by 112.41 resistance to bring another decline. Below 110.61 will turn bias back to the downside for 108.81 support. Whole correction from 118.65 is possibly resuming. Break of 108.81 will confirm and target 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. Nonetheless, break of 112.41 will dampen this bearish view and turn focus back to 114.49 resistance instead.
In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the fall from 118.65 suggests that rise from 98.97 is not completed yet. Break of 118.65 will target a test on 125.85 high. At this point, it’s uncertain whether rise from 98.97 is resuming the long term up trend from 75.56, or it’s a leg in the consolidation from 125.85. Hence, we’ll be cautious on topping as it approaches 125.85. If fall from 118.65 extends lower, down side should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48 and bring rebound.
