USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.27; (P) 110.50; (R1) 110.69; More…

USD/JPY’s fall from 114.36 resumes by taking out 110.23 support an reaches as low as 109.65 so far. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 108.12 support next. Whole decline from 118.65 is seen as a correction and is still in progress. Break of 108.12 will target 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. We’ll look for bottoming signal around 106.48. On the upside, above 110.72 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. But near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 111.70 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

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