USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.02; (P) 111.57; (R1) 112.37; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remain son the downside for the moment. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 108.12 to 114.36 at 110.50 will bring deeper fall to 108.12 low. In that case, the whole decline from 118.65 would likely extend through 108.12 to 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. On the upside, above 111.41 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. We’ll assess the structure of subsequent rebound to decide whether fall from 114.36 is completed in that case.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

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