Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.26; (P) 150.23; (R1) 150.79; More…
USD/JPY’s break of 149.53 support suggests that corrective recovery has already completed at 151.20. That came just ahead of 151.29 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 158.86 to 146.52 at 151.23). Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 146.52 low first. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 158.86 towards 139.57 support next. For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 151.23/9 holds in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low), with fall from 158.86 as the third leg. Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.