USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.70; (P) 142.82; (R1) 143.76; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Rebound from 139.57 short term bottom should target 55 D EMA (now at 147.37), and possibly further to 38.2% retracement of 161.94 to 139.57 at 148.11. On the downside, below 141.73 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 139.57 instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Strong support could be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to contain downside, at least on first attempt. But in any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 149.35 resistance holds. Sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

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