Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.71; (P) 148.04; (R1) 148.63; More…
USD/JPY’s break of 148.29 minor resistance argues that fall from 150.87 is merely a correction, and has completed at 146.47. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 150.87. Nevertheless, on the downside, break of 38.2% retracement of 140.25 to 150.87 at 146.81 will argue that fall from 150.87 is reversing the whole rally from 140.25. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 144.30 and below.
In the bigger picture, no change in the view that price action from 151.89 (2023 high) are correction to up trend from 127.20 (2023 low). The question is whether this correction has completed at 140.25, or extending with fall from 150.87 as the third leg. Sustained break of above mentioned 146.81 fibonacci level will favor the latter case. But even so, downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 139.54.
