USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

Despite much volatility last week, USD/JPY’s fall from 151.89 is still in progress. But as a temporary low was formed at 140.94, initial bias is neutral this week first for consolidations. Upside should be limited well below 146.58 resistance to bring another decline. Break of 140.94 will target next fibonacci level at 136.63.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63, sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). This will now remain the favored as long as 146.58 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, as long as 125.85 resistance turned support holds (2015 high), up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) is still in favor to continue through 151.93 (2022 high) at a later stage.

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