Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.60; (P) 112.13; (R1) 112.59; More…
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. Sustained break of 55 day EMA (now at 112.02) will extend the fall from 114.49 to 108.81 support. As noted before, whole correction from 118.65 is possibly still in progress. Break of 108.81 will confirm and target 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. On the upside, above 112.86 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.
In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the fall from 118.65 suggests that rise from 98.97 is not completed yet. Break of 118.65 will target a test on 125.85 high. At this point, it’s uncertain whether rise from 98.97 is resuming the long term up trend from 75.56, or it’s a leg in the consolidation from 125.85. Hence, we’ll be cautious on topping as it approaches 125.85. If fall from 118.65 extends lower, down side should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48 and bring rebound.
