Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.39; (P) 109.74; (R1) 110.11; More…
Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral with the current recovery. On the downside, below 109.36 will resume the fall from 110.89 to 108.10 and possibly below. But as price actions from 111.39 are seen as a corrective pattern, we’d expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 111.39 at 107.20 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 110.89 will resume the rise from 108.10 towards 111.39.
In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re slightly favoring the case that corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Above 111.39 will affirm this view and target 114.73 for confirmation. However, it should be noted that USD/JPY is bounded in medium term falling channel from 118.65 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 111.39 at 107.20 will likely resume the fall from 118.65 through 104.62 low.
