Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9695; (P) 0.9731; (R1) 0.9803; More…
USD/CHF rebounded strongly after hitting 0.9659. But upside is limited below 0.9797 minor resistance so far. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further fall is expected with 0.9797 intact. Break of 0.9659 will extend the decline from 1.0237 to 0.9587 fibonacci level first. Break will target 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9695 from 0.9975 at 0.9433. However, break of 0.9797 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9875).
In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. Nevertheless, break of 0.9975 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline from 1.0237. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside.
