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USDCAD Outlook

USD/CAD Daily Outlook


Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3277; (P) 1.3299; (R1) 1.3337; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains mildly on the upside for the moment. As noted before, correction from 1.3534 is likely finished with three waves down to 1.3222. Further rise should be seen to 1.3455 next. Break there will confirm this bullish case and send USD/CAD to 1.3598 resistance. In that case, whole rise from 1.2460 is likely resuming too. On the downside, below 1.3261 minor support will bring another fall. But we'd expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 1.2968 to 1.3534 at 1.3184 to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We'd look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart