Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2892; (P) 1.2953; (R1) 1.2994; More….
USD/CAD edges lower to 1.2911 as recent decline continues. Intraday bias stays on the downside. Sustained trading below 1.2968 cluster support, 61.8% retracement of 1.2460 to 1.3793 at 1.2969 will pave the way to retesting 1.2460 low. On the upside, above 1.3013 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. In such case, stronger rebound would be seen back to 1.3164/3346 resistance zone first, before staying another fall .
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The second leg should have finished at 1.3793. Break of 1.2460 will extend such correction to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048. At this point, we’d look for strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. However, firm break there will target 100% projection of 1.4689 to 1.2460 from 1.3793 at 1.1564.