Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3239; (P) 1.3319; (R1) 1.3360; More…
USD/CAD reaches as low as 1.3151 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside and fall from 1.3564 should target 1.3052/68 cluster support next. On the upside, above 1.3257 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral for consolidations. But risk will remain on the downside as long as 1.3432 resistance holds, in case of strong recovery.
In the bigger picture, medium term outlook stays neutral for now even though the case of bearish reversal is building up. Decisive break of 1.3068 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.3052) will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next. On the upside, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685, is needed to confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside.
