USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3023; (P) 1.3061; (R1) 1.3106; More

USD/CAD surges to as high as 1.3141 so far today. The break of 1.3132 resistance indicates resumption of rise from 1.2781. More importantly, the break of near term channel resistance argues that the corrective fall from 1.3385 has completed. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 1.3225 resistance. Firm break there will confirm this bullish case and target 1.3385 high and above. On the downside, break of 1.2969 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, current development revives the case that corrective fall from 1.3385 has completed at 1.2781 already. And whole up trend from 1.2061 (2016 low) is resume to resume. Break of 1.3385 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2781 support holds.

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