Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3290; (P) 1.3315; (R1) 1.3337; More…
GBP/USD’s fall from 1.4376 is still in progress. Intraday bias stays on the downside for next target at 50% retracement of 1.1946 to 1.4376 at 1.3161. Break will larger 61.8% retracement at 1.2875 next. On the upside, above 1.3340 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation. But break of 1.3568 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole medium term rebound from 1.1936 (2016 low) has completed at 1.4376 already, with trend line broken firmly, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4223). 61.8% retracement of 1.1936 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.2874 is the next target. We’ll pay attention to the reaction from there to asses the chance of long term down trend resumption. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.3730) holds, even in case of strong rebound.
