GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2928; (P) 1.2958; (R1) 1.3007; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral with a temporary low formed at 1.2906. Further decline is expected as long as 1.3070 resistance holds. Below 1.2906 will resume the fall from 1.3433 to 61.8% retracement of 1.2298 to 1.3433 at 1.2732. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, firm break 1.3070 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, considering mildly bearish divergence condition in D MACD, a medium term top is likely in place at 1.3433 already. Price actions from there are seen as correction to whole up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3433 at 1.2256, which is close to 1.2298 structural support. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound.

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