GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3039; (P) 1.3071; (R1) 1.3106; More…

GBP/USD is still defending 1.3000 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2298 to 1.3433 at 1.2999) for now. On the downside, decisive break of 1.2999/3000 will argue that whole rise from 1.2298 has complete,d and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2732. Nevertheless, strong bounce from current level, followed by break of 1.3102 minor resistance, will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound towards 1.3433.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3000 support holds, the up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) is still in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.3141 from 1.2298 at 1.4022. However, considering mild bearish divergence condition in D MACD, decisive break of 1.3000 will argue that a medium term top is already in place, and bring deeper fall back to 1.2664 support next.

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