GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1791; (P) 1.1828; (R1) 1.1871; More

GBP/USD is still staying in consolidation from 1.1716 and intraday bias stays neutral. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.2002 support turned resistance to bring another fall. Break of 1.1716 will resume larger down trend to 1.1409 long term support. However, firm break of 1.2002 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger rise back to 1.2292 resistance.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2292 resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low. However, firm break of 1.2292 will bring stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.2859).

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