Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2697; (P) 1.2746; (R1) 1.2803; More…
GBP/USD is staying in range above 1.2633 and struggles to break through 4 hour 55 EMA. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Also, near term outlook stays bearish with 1.2977 resistance intact. We continue to favor the case that consolidation pattern from 1.1946 has completed at 1.3047 already. Decisive break of 1.2614 resistance turned support would confirm our bearish view and target a test on 1.1946 low next. However, break of 1.2977 will dampen our view and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3047 and above.
In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. Price actions from 1.1946 medium term low are seen as a consolidation pattern, which could have completed after hitting 55 week EMA. Break of 1.1946 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.5016 to 1.1946 from 1.3047 at 1.1150 next. In case the consolidation from 1.1946 extends, outlook will stay remain bearish as long as 1.3444 resistance holds.
