Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3010; (P) 1.3057; (R1) 1.3083; More….
GBP/USD’s break of 1.3012 support suggests that rebound from 1.2391 has completed at 1.3217, after rejection by 1.3174 key resistance. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 1.2814 resistance turned support first. Break will bring retest on 1.2391 low. On the upside, break of 1.3217 resistance is needed to confirm resumption of the rebound. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, the rejection by 1.3174 key resistance revived the original view on GBP/USD. That is, decline from 1.4376 is possibly resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Firm break of 1.2391 will solidify this bearish case and target 1.1946 (2016 low). However, decisive break of 1.3174 will invalidate this bearish case again and turn outlook bullish.
