Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2536; (P) 1.2655; (R1) 1.2729; More….
GBP/USD’s down trend resumed by breaking 1.2476 and reaches as low as 1.2391 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Current fall from 1.4376 should target 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2661 from 1.3174 at 1.2114 next. On the upside, break of 1.2814 resistance is needed to indicate trend reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). And this will now remain the preferred case as long as 1.3174 structural resistance holds. GBP/USD should target a test on 1.1946 first. Decisive break there will confirm our bearish view.
