Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.01; (P) 149.50; (R1) 150.17; More
GBP/JPY’s break of 148.42 suggests that fall from 151.92 has resumed. Such decline is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 152.82. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 146.92 support and below But we’d expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 139.29 to 152.82 at 144.45 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 149.98 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 151.92/152.82 resistance zone instead.
In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 122.36 is still expected to resume after corrective pull back from 152.82 completes. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, break of 139.29 will indicate rejection from 150.43 key fibonacci level. And the three wave corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.
