GBP/JPY’s fall from 186.75 extended lower last week but recovered after forming a temporary low at 180.78. Initial bias remains neutral this week for consolidations. But further decline is expected as long as 183.34 resistance holds. Break of 180.78 will target to 176.29 support next.
In the bigger picture, fall from 186.75 is currently seen as a corrective move only. As long as 176.29 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress. Break of 186.75 will target 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 176.29 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper consolidations.
In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) in still in progress but started losing upside momentum as seen in W MACD. Further rise will remain in favor, though, as long as 176.29 support holds, to retest 195.86 (2015 high).
