GBP/JPY stayed in range of 183.35/186.75 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 183.35 will resume the correction from 186.75, and target 55 D EMA (now at 181.76). Nevertheless, firm break of 186.75 will resume larger up trend.
In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.
In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) in still in progress to retest 195.86 (2015 high). Based on current momentum, break of 195.86 is in favor. But strong resistance could still be seen from 61.8% retracement of 251.09 (2007 high) to 116.83 (2011 low) at 199.80 to limit upside on first attempt.
. Nevertheless, firm break of 186.75 will resume larger up trend.){kind=link}