GBP/JPY’s up trend continued last week and break of channel resistance suggests upside acceleration. Initial bias stays on the upside this week. Rise form 123.94 should now target 147.95 structural resistance. Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, break of 144.47 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.
In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the sideway pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Break of 147.95 will target 156.59 resistance (2018 high). On the downside, break of 133.03 support is needed to confirm completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor even in case of pull back.
In the longer term picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) is still seen as a sideway pattern for now. Sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 143.73) will carry long term bullish implications. But still, firm break of 156.59 resistance is needed to confirm the start of an up trend. Otherwise, overall outlook will be neutral at best first.
