GBP/JPY’s rebound from 142.76 accelerated higher last week and the development suggests that pull back from 149.70 has completed. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 149.70 first. Break will resume the rise from 139.88 and target 153.84/156.59 resistance zone. On the downside, below 145.43 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 142.76 again.
In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.
In the longer term picture, as long as 139.29 holds, rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 (2016 low) at 159.11, and possibly further to 61.8% retracement at 167.78 before completion. However, firm break of 139.29 will turn focus back to 116.83/122.36 support zone instead (116.83 as 2011 low).
