Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2018; (P) 1.2053 (R1) 1.2102; More….
EUR/USD is staying below 1.2091 key resistance despite the rally attempt. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rise is expected as long as 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.1959) holds. Firm break of 1.2091 will confirm medium term rally resumption and target next key fibonacci level at 1.2494/2516. However, sustained break of 4 hour 55 EMA will extend the consolidation pattern from 1.2091 with with another decline through 1.1717 support.
In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494.
