Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1759; (P) 1.1795 (R1) 1.1861; More….
EUR/USD’s strong break of 1.1814 resistance suggest that corrective pull back from 1.1960 has completed at 1.1717 already. Also, as the pair defended 1.1712 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.1553 to 1.1960 at 1.1708), near term bullish outlook is retained. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.1960 first. Break will target 1.2029 high next. And even in case of retreat, outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1708/12 cluster support holds.
In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.1423) will suggest that such medium term rebound is completed and could then bring retest of 1.0339 low.
