Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0439; (P) 1.0497; (R1) 1.0532; More…
EUR/USD’s fall from 1.1213 resumed by breaking through 1.0495 temporary low. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.0447 support and then 1.0404 key fibonacci level next. Strong support could be seen from this zone to bring rebound. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.0609 resistance holds. Decisive break of 1.0404 will carry larger bearish implications.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 (2023 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern to up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low), with fall from 1.1213 as the third leg. Downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 0.9534 (2022 low) to 1.1274 at 1.0404, to bring up trend resumption at a later stage. However, firm break of 1.0404 will raise the chance of reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.0199.
