EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0736; (P) 1.0780; (R1) 1.0848; More

EUR/USD retreats after initial rejection by 55 4H EMA. Intraday bias remains neutral and more consolidations could still be seen above 1..0681 temporary low. But further decline is expected as long as 1.0936 resistance holds. On the downside, sustained break of 61.8% projection of 1.1213 to 1.0760 from 1.0936 at 1.0656 will pave the way to 100% projection at 1.0483.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 (2023 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern to up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low), with fall from 1.1213 as the third leg. Downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 0.9534 (2022 low) to 1.1274 at 1.0404, to bring up trend resumption at a later stage.

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