EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0541; (P) 1.0568; (R1) 1.0603; More

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook as consolidation from 1.0447 is extending. Intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, firm break of 1.0447 will resume whole fall from 1.1274 and target 1.0199 fibonacci level. On the upside, however, break of 1.0639 will resume the rebound from 1.0447 to 55 D EMA (now at 1.0694).

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 medium term top could still be a correction to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). But chance of a complete trend reversal is rising. In either case, current fall should target 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1274 at 1.0199 next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.0694) holds, in case of rebound.

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