Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1075; (P) 1.1091; (R1) 1.1116; More…
No change in EUR/USD’s outlook. With 1.1130 minor resistance intact, further fall is expected for 1.1026 low. Decisive break there will extend the downtrend from 1.2555. On the upside, above 1.1130 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside to extend the correction from 1.1026. But in that case, we’d expect strong resistance from 1.1249 to limit upside.
In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) is in progress and extending. Prior rejection of 55 week EMA also maintained bearishness. Further fall should be seen to 78.6% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.0813. Decisive break there will target 1.0339 (2017 low). On the upside, break of 1.1412 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.
