Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1254; (P) 1.1312; (R1) 1.1344; More…
EUR/USD’s fall from 1.1412 extends today and broke 1.1317 minor support. Recovery from 1.1107 might have completed earlier than expected at 1.1412. Intraday bias is turned to the downside for 1.1181 support first. Break there will confirm and bring retest of 1.1107 low. Though, above 1.1344 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside to resume the rebound from 1.1107 through 1.1412 instead.
In the bigger picture, considering bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, a medium term bottom should be in place at 1.1107 after hitting 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1107 at 1.1660. Reactions from there could indicate whether rebound from 1.1107 is a corrective rise or reversing medium term trend. In any case, risk will stay mildly on the upside as long as 1.1107 low remains intact.
