Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1189; (P) 1.1223 (R1) 1.1244; More….
EUR/USD’s rally resumed by taking out 1.1267 and reaches as high as 1.1282 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside with focus on 1.1298 key resistance. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implication and target 1.1615 resistance next. Near term outlook will now remain bullish as long as 1.1109 support holds. Nonetheless, we’d stay cautious on rejection from 1.1245/98 (138.2% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0569 at 1.1245) resistance zone. Break of 1.1109 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside.
In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal continues to build up with EUR/USD staying far above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0888). Also, bullish convergence condition is seen in weekly MACD. Focus will now be on 1.1298 key resistance. Rejection from there will maintain medium term bearishness and would extend the whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high). However, firm break of 1.1298 will indicate reversal. In such case, further rally would be seen back to 1.2042 support turned resistance next.
