Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1619; (P) 1.1648; (R1) 1.1689; More…
EUR/CHF recovered ahead of 1.1597 support but is still stuck in range below 1.1736. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. We continue to believe that the cross is close to topping, if not formed. This is under persistent bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and rising wedge like structure since 1.1709. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1597 support will a strong sign of trend reversal and should turn outlook bearish for 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1736 at 1.1313.
In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect another to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1198 is firmly taken out.
