EUR/CHF stayed in consolidation from 1.0811 short term bottom last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week and more corrective trading could be seen. Further rise cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1605 to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0811 will resume larger down trend from 1.2004.
In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.
