EUR/CHF’s recovery last week argues that pull back from 1.0986 has completed at 1.0837. But the cross lost momentum after hitting 1.0907. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, above 1.0907 will confirm our view and target a test on 1.0986/0999 resistance zone. Below 1.0837 will extend the correction lower. Still, we’d expect strong support from 1.0791/0872 support zone to contain downside and bring rebound.
In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0791 support holds.
