Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1515; (P) 1.1540; (R1) 1.1568; More….
Breach of 1.1585 minor resistance argues that pull back from 1.1656 has completed at 1.1478. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for 1.1656 and above. But we’d expect upside to be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760 to complete the corrective rebound from 1.1366. On the downside, below 1.1478 will target 1.1366 low instead.
In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.
