EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4641; (P) 1.4673; (R1) 1.4721; More

Further decline is mildly in favor in EUR/AUD as long as 1.4754 minor resistance holds. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5226 at 1.4614 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.4236 and possibly below. Meanwhile, break of 1.4754 will indicate that the cross could have defended 1.4669 support. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.5226 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction should be completed at 1.3624 after defending 1.3671 key support. Rise from 1.3642 would extend to 61.8% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.5455. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.6587. However, sustained break of 1.4669 support will dampen this bullish view. We’ll assess the outlook later after looking at the structure and depth of the pull back.

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