Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4829; (P) 1.4869; (R1) 1.4894; More…
No change in EUR/AUD’s outlook. The correction from 1.5526 might still extend lower to 38.2% retracement of 1.3980 to 1.5226 at 1.4750. But we’d expect strong support from 1.4669 to contain downside and bring rebound. Above 1.5015 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 1.5226 first. Larger rise from 1.3624 is expected to resume later. Break of 1.5226 will target next medium term fibonacci level at 1.5455.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction should be completed at 1.3624 after defending 1.3671 key support. Rise from 1.3642 is now expected to target 61.8% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.5455. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.6587. In any case, outlook will now stay cautiously bullish as long as 1.4669 support holds. Break of 1.4669 will dampen the bullish view and would at least bring deeper fall back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.4539).
